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Black Cat Alpha
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DOGE 这根 4 小时阴线,我选择在 0.06903 挂空单。
$DOGE/USDT - 做空
交易计划:(置信度:95.00%)
入场区间:0.06897 – 0.06909
止损:0.06948
止盈1:0.06869
止盈2:0.06847
止盈3:0.06814
为什么关注这个机会?
日线还是 bearish,BTC 大方向又没给出明确指引,这种时候我倾向于顺着日线趋势做,而不是逆势猜反弹。4 小时周期看,价格刚好卡在 0.06903 这个位置,往上是压力,往下是空间,所以我的计划是:如果价格回到 0.06897–0.06909 这个区间,我会进 SHORT。
RSI 在 15 分钟级别只有 49,动能没到超卖也没到超买,说明这波下跌还没走完,反弹的力度有限。ATR 一小时只有 0.00039,波动不大,这种盘面不适合追空,适合等回踩再进场。我把 SL 放在 0.06948,TP 分三档:0.06869、0.06847、0.06814,风险回报比还算能看。
这单的核心逻辑就是:日线压着,BTC 不帮忙,DOGE 想独立走强很难。关键就看 0.06903 这个位置能不能守住,守不住,下方空间就打开了。
你怎么看?
如果价格先冲到 0.06948 触发止损,你会反手做多还是继续等下一个空点?
ENG:
I’m putting a short on DOGE at 0.06903 — this 4-hour candle tells me the bears are still in control.
$DOGE/USDT - SHORT
Trade plan (confidence: 95.00%)
Entry range: 0.06897 – 0.06909
Stop loss: 0.06948
Take profit 1: 0.06869
Take profit 2: 0.06847
Take profit 3: 0.06814
Why watch this setup?
The daily trend is bearish, and BTC isn’t giving any clear direction. In that kind of environment, I’d rather follow the daily bias than try to catch a bounce. On the 4-hour chart, price is sitting right at 0.06903 — resistance above, room below. So here’s my plan: if price pulls back into the 0.06897–0.06909 zone, I’m taking the short.
RSI on the 15-minute is at 49 — not oversold, not overbought. That tells me the downside move isn’t finished yet, and any bounce is likely to be weak. ATR on the 1-hour is only 0.00039, so volatility is tight. This isn’t a market where you chase the drop; you wait for the retest. I’ve got my stop at 0.06948, with three targets: 0.06869, 0.06847, and 0.06814. The risk-to-reward works.
The whole thesis here is simple: daily trend is down, BTC isn’t helping, and DOGE won’t easily break out on its own. The key level is 0.06903 — if it doesn’t hold, there’s plenty of room to the downside.
What do you think?
If price hits your stop at 0.06948 first, are you flipping long or waiting for the next short entry?
#DOGE #Crypto #CryptoTrading #OKX #Trading #Short

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