Post

"S&P Hits Another Record High: Liquidating to Wait for a Pullback May Be the Costliest Decision in August" Wednesday, August 5, 2026 Q3 · Issue 93 Aspirin · A Data Scientist’s Perspective on Cyclical Analysis The S&P 500 closed last night at 7,736.52 points, up 1.8%, hitting another all-time high; the year-to-date gain is about 13%. I did not chase the rally last night, nor did I liquidate my core index positions. The risk of a pullback in the second half of the year remains, but a properly sized pullback could still settle above today’s level. BTC is still hovering around 64.4K. I’m reserving new funds for the S&P’s pullback range, leaving only two BTC contract alerts at 63.5K and 69.2K. Here’s a calculation many haven’t seriously considered. 1. A 10% drop doesn’t necessarily give you a lower buying point Assuming the S&P rises 12% from 7,736.52 points and then pulls back 10%: 7,736.52 × 1.12 × 0.90 = 7,798.41. The pullback sounds large, but the level is still 0.8%#SandiskBeatAndBuyback #CircleArcLaunch #EarningsRealityCheck