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Happy_shanky
🚨 The Next Big $SPCX Opportunity May Come After the Lock-Up, Not Before
Most investors are focused on the stock's sharp decline.
The more important question is what happens after the first major lock-up expires on August 6, when a large number of previously restricted shares become eligible for sale.
Lock-up expirations often create short-term selling pressure as early investors gain liquidity. While that can weigh on price, it can also create opportunities if the company's long-term fundamentals remain intact.
A historical example is $PLTR : • IPO at $10
• Rallied to $39
• Sold off after the lock-up expiration as insiders took profits
• Bottomed near $6 before institutional accumulation
• Eventually rallied to new highs
Could $SPCX follow a similar path? It's far too early to know—but the upcoming lock-up will be an important event to watch.
Current milestones: • IPO: June 12
• Early high: $225
• Recent price: Around $111
• First major lock-up: August 6
For me, the key question is whether the $110–115 area can hold once any lock-up-related selling pressure is absorbed. If buyers successfully defend that zone and fundamentals remain strong, it could lay the groundwork for a stronger recovery over time.
The focus isn't on chasing headlines—it's on waiting for price action and market structure to confirm the opportunity.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always do your own research.
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